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Providing timely updates and perspectives on the economy and financial markets.

Weekly Market & Economic Update    |  02.11.19

While trade and budget talks dominate headlines, data points to softer global economic activity. That is likely to weigh on stock market earnings growth for the rest of 2019, despite a solid fourth quarter in 2018.

2019 investment outlook: A more balanced view forward

As we look ahead to 2019, prospects for the coming year look a bit less clear than has been the case in recent years.

Fed blinks: Concerns about inflation and market weakness

The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, following weak economic data.

Capital market update: Volatility persists - Historical context for investors

The overall capital market landscape remains turbulent, with major domestic and international indices marking new lows for 2018.

Bank loan market: Caution warranted due to softer credit quality

Our positioning remains neutral, with a cautious bias on the high-yield category (which includes bank loans, as growing risks in the loan market warrant caution, despite strong recent performance.


 
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Equity securities are subject to stock market fluctuations that occur in response to economic and business developments. Investments in fixed income debt securities typically decrease in value when interest rates rise. This risk is usually greater for longer-term debt securities. Investments in real estate can be subject to fluctuations in the value of the underlying properties, the effect of economic conditions on real estate values, changes in interest rates and risks related to renting properties, such as rental defaults. There are special risks associated with an investment in commodities, including market price fluctuations, regulatory changes, interest rate changes, credit risk, economic changes, and the impact of adverse political or financial factors.